Everyone seems to be reporting that this year’s election turnout will be quite low — around 35%, maybe even lower. Although low turnout usually helps Republicans, the GOP cannot afford to rest its hat on this short, short peg. Consider the distribution. Sure, turnout will be low in Kentucky, or Delaware, or North Dakota. But in New Hampshire? Minnesota? South Dakota? Who knows, they might even set records in these states, where the parties have been duking it out ferociously for weeks and where the races are blisteringly hot. Turnout will be low, but not where it matters.
That being said, Republicans will still win because they’re just better than Demmycrats.
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