Re: Several Things

Alston: You’re absolutely right. Dole will most likely win this.

Rollo: Your point about Florida Panhandle voters getting off from work and voting for Bush in 2000 is well-taken, but remember that the Panhandle is in a different time zone, which probably explains their late votes.

However, this reminds me: Memphis and Nashville are in Central Time, while the rest (most rural parts) of Tennessee is in Eastern Time. Expect a late bump for Bob Clement, but don’t expect it to put him over the top unless it’s tight now.

Also, South Dakota is split, too. Rapid City is in Mountain Time, while Pierre, Sioux Falls, and Sioux City are in Central Time. If Democrats in the state are concentrated in these “urban” areas (i.e., hamlets), this is a plus for Thune. Of course, in a state like South Dakota, the parties are probably very evenly distributed, so again: grain of salt!